The first thing I want to stress is that risk management is something that we all do every day of our lives. There are varying degrees of this process and some are not even aware of this process. The most obvious example that most of you are familiar with is purchasing insurance. Insurance is actually a method of risk transference but we will get to that later. The amount of coverage you get, your deductible, and various restrictions are all risk management decisions that you make. Effectively what I am mostly doing in the office is this on a larger, formalized scale.
Everything we do, every day, has some measure of risk in it. How we respond to every risk is different. What we want to try to do is gather the information related to each risk and come to some agreement as to the response. This is usually a simple exercise for yourself. Even on a family level the decisions are not usually that fraught with difficulty. Expand this with an organization, involving thousands of stakeholders, it becomes more like herding cats.
Let’s start with a scenario that commuters are familiar with. Your boss wants you at work by 9am. You live about 30 minutes away. When do you leave the house? I’m sure we all make these decisions quite readily and without putting a lot of thought into it. But for this exercise let’s break it down by asking a few questions.
- What is the impact of being late?
- What is the likelihood that you’ll be late?
- What can I do to avoid being late?
- How much does it cost be to not be late?
What is the impact if you’re late? Basically, what’s the penalty? The answer probably depends on your boss, your schedule, and how late. If you had a meeting scheduled first thing that would probably be a bigger problem than if you had a one hour buffer.
In a given month (20 working days) how many times are you late? Is there generally a lot of traffic so the commute takes longer? Maybe you take the train and it is almost always on time. Even when the train is late you never end up more than 10 minutes late.
Next we are asking about what you can do to not be late. We call this a mitigation strategy. The obvious one is to leave earlier. But let’s think broader. Maybe you could move closer, or change the mode of transportation you use (helicopter?). Could you adjust your expected arrival time?
The last question is extremely important. For the options you come up with above what is the cost of doing it? Leaving earlier probably doesn’t cost much, but think about the value you place on time, or maybe taking an earlier train costs more because of peak pricing. Renting a helicopter could be really expensive, but maybe moving closer is ultimately cheaper (less gas, lower taxes …). I would also consider the opportunity cost of leaving earlier or buying a helicopter. Leaving sufficiently early may mean you can’t eat breakfast, or take your kids to school.
After you go through and look at each of these questions you can now compare the cost of being late to the cost of being on time. This is a very important point about why we do this. There is a cost associated with any option you choose. Ideally you are now able to balance the cost of being late and the costs of being on time and decide on the best time to leave the house or potentially completely change the options you have. You could choose a short-term plan and a long-term solution as well.
This example probably took a lot longer to come up with an answer than you use every single day. But effectively this is what we do when evaluating risk and trying to manage it. Most of what I do is managing risk related to IT infrastructure, but again, the concepts here can extend to just about any other field.
Something I do want to clarify before finishing out today, is that risk management is not the same as compliance auditing. In my opinion compliance auditing is a mindset and a process born from our desire to make checklists to reduce deviation. This is a well-intentioned process, and is very effective in some situations. When we overuse checklists we often stop thinking about the reason for the rules. When something goes wrong we blame the checklist. Taking away flexibility, the ability to think keeps us from creating effective, efficient solutions; sub-optimal results. This is why I focus on risk management and not just pure compliance. Risk management allows adults to make decisions based on a variety of factors.